Why do we make mistakes? Are there certain errors common to failure, whether in a complex enterprise or daily life? In this truly indispensable book, Dietrich. The Logic of Failure Dietrich Dörner at Otto-Friedrich-Universität Bamberg The references herein, especially the books by Dörner [5] and Kahneman [31]. Our office engineering reading group just went through The Logic of Failure: Recognizing And Avoiding Error In Complex Situations by Dietrich.

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The Logic of Failure: Recognizing and Avoiding Error in Complex Situations

Complexity is the label we will give to the existence of many interdependent variables in a given system. The links between the variables oblige us to attend to a great many features simultaneously, and that, concomitantly, makes it impossible for us to undertake only one action in a complex system. I agree with this and will find ways of incorporating more simulations in my training programmes. A presumptuous book full of truisms.

Sep 16, Andrea James rated it it was amazing. Read at the suggestion of a colleague, as we spiral toward project failure. Amazon Drive Cloud storage from Amazon.

Especially when the book contains useful info that can be used in the real world. I truly believe that safety engineers do not take into account many of the things that Dorner covers in this book. Quite compendious, I think. Herr Dorner gives us an important book that provides insights into human shortcomings in recognizing and dealing with complex situations. Good problem solvers use clear goals and intermediary goals with accurate mental models which they refine over time. Other main points are “people have a hard time with many-variable nonlinear dietricb systems” not an actual quote and the correlary – they can basically only do linear modeling.

Complexity is not an objective factor but a subjective one.

Dorner warns that youth and intelligence, well-intentioned though it may be, often come up woefully short when arrayed against complex systems. This is a xorner I xorner have on hand for reference. Interrelatedness guarantees that an action aimed at one variable will have side effects and long-term repercussions. Not what I expected. Only in the end did the author try to handle this question When I started reading the book, I found it very interesting to see the fails in the human way of thinking in complex situations.


Notes on The Logic of Failure by Dietrich Dorner – Max Mednik

I think the last chapter should have been distributed equally on previous chapters. He must keep in mind that a simulation is a software with some mathematical models. Share your thoughts with other customers. In addition, his basic attitude was that people fail becuse they arent’t as smart as he is, although he was clearly trying really hard not to come out and say this directly.

When someone si I gave this book five stars partly because I think decisions in complex situations are not explored enough and far too few people are paying sufficient attention to this problem. Logoc playing discretized sim city, or playing ‘balance the predators and prey’. Probably our main shortcoming is that we like to oversimplify problems. Why do we make mistakes?

This one brought back memories of undergrad labs, and my impatience running old-fashioned melting point apparatuses that used oil baths and a power knob. Apr 22, JP rated it it was amazing Shelves: Ultimately, the author dietich this book was just stringing a bunch of anecdotes together to fallure to prove that simulated gaming would be a good training method.

That inability for us to tackle problems that we know exist but are bad at dealing with can have cascading effects.

Paperbackpages. Feb 06, Peter rated it liked it Shelves: In the end, it’s a well written book which seeks to give concrete recommendations on how to avoid poor decision-making heuristics in complex systems, but I wouldn’t try to build a course of instruction around it.

It cuts to logci very fundamental limit of our cognition and reasoning. The Logic of Failure lays out the foundation behind failures and then does a masterful job of explaining the how too learn from and minimize failure with both an explicit and implict view. The bad participants failed to do this.

To see what your friends thought of this book, please sign up. I’m personally not a fan of the way Dorner derives his observations on planning. We might even think failre could assign a numerical value to it, making it, for instance, the product of the number of features times the number of interrelationships.


The Logic of Failure: Recognizing and Avoiding Error in Complex Situations by Dietrich Dörner

Amazon Second Chance Pass it on, trade it in, give it a second life. I keep coming back the quotation attributed to H. Withoutabox Submit to Film Festivals.

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The Logic of Failure

It’s really easy for me to look at my own life experiences and try to extrapolate out, unduly. Concise, direct and up to the point. Any problem is much more complex than we like to believe. I am no academic, but I was appalled by falure fact that the findings of this book are founded on such a small population of observations made in game-like scenarios.

So raw, made to read few time before closing the book. The entire book is full of real world case studies and experiments showing how bad planning is the result of inadequate understanding of the interrelationships between complex systems, inability to visualize non-linear chains of causation and more importantly, the inadequate self-testing of the fai,ure between our mental models of reality and reality itself.

Discover Prime Book Box for Kids. Some people over-correct, making dramatic changes while chasing a pointer that drowned out any data in induced oscillations. As a rule it will be both incomplete and wrong, and one would do well to keep that probability in mind.

All those hours you spent playing Civilization? When I started reading the book, I found it very interesting to see the fails in the human way of thinking in complex situations. The only reason not to give it 4 stars was that it is translated very well from German, so most of his references are to German language books, articles etc.